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Rates & Fixed Income

Rates & Fixed Income
  • US 2Y Treasury: ~4.00%
  • US 10Y Treasury: ~4.35%–4.40%
  • German Bund (10Y): ~2.55%

Key Takeaways

  • Yields have moved higher again, driven by oil
  • No meaningful repricing toward aggressive rate cuts
  • Inflation expectations are re-accelerating

➡️ Market pricing reflects:

“Higher-for-longer + energy premium”

Implication:
Duration risk remains skewed toward higher yields