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1. Energy Markets & Geopolitical Risk Premium

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1. Energy Markets & Geopolitical Risk Premium

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—particularly involving the United States and Iran—remain a key driver of global energy markets, although the acute stress phase has eased.

Key Developments:

  • Oil stabilizing near $100/bbl after recent spikes
  • Strategic routes such as the Strait of Hormuz remain under close surveillance
  • الأسواق بدأت تسعر risk premium بشكل أكثر هدوءًا

Market Implication:

  • Energy is no longer in a shock phase, but still a macro risk

Elevated oil supports persistent inflation globally