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2. Market Snapshot (Current Levels & Tone)

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2. Market Snapshot (Current Levels & Tone)

Equities

  • S&P 500: ~6,680
  • Nasdaq: ~22,050
  • Dow Jones: ~40,250
  • STOXX Europe 600: ~592
  • Nikkei 225: ~54,200
  • Shanghai Composite: ~3,210
  • Hang Seng: ~17,450
  • TASI: ~12,480
  • MSCI ACWI: ~1,018

Read:
Global equities are grinding higher, but the move is:

  • Uneven across regions
  • Narrow in leadership
  • Low in conviction

This is positioning—not a broad re-risking cycle.

Rates

  • US 2Y: ~4.08%
  • US 10Y: ~4.38%
  • German 10Y: ~2.65%

Insight:
Yields remain elevated and stable.
Markets are no longer aggressively repricing, but:

  • There is no easing impulse
  • Real rates remain restrictive

➡️ الضغط مستمر على التقييمات خصوصاً في أسهم النمو

FX

  • DXY: ~101.0
  • USD/JPY: ~160.2
  • EUR/USD: ~1.12
  • USD/CNY: ~7.28

Takeaway:

  • USD strength persists
  • JPY is at a critical policy-sensitive level
  • CNY remains under controlled pressure

➡️ FX is reflecting rate differentials + capital flow discipline

Commodities

  • Brent: ~$99–101
  • WTI: ~$95–97
  • Gold: ~$2,235

Observation:

  • Oil is testing $100 again, but still lacks breakout conviction
  • Gold is drifting sideways despite macro uncertainty

➡️ No strong inflation shock signal—for now